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Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alex Caruso has successfully made an impressive 56.4% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 48.4 rate last year.

Alex Caruso has made a terrific 46.1% of his 3-pointers this season, a sizeable increase from his 36.9 rate last season.

In terms of three-point attempts, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bulls.

This year, opposing starting SGs have registered 20.1 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.

The Bulls will likely see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The slowest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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