Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 48.4% clip, Alex Caruso's scoring performance has spiked this year to 58.0%.
Alex Caruso has successfully made a terrific 47.0% of his three-point attempts this year, a big improvement over his 36.9 mark last year.
When playing on the road, the Celtics have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a lowly 19.0 free throws per game when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has averaged 13.2 three-pointers per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a positive matchup.
The most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Celtics).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bulls grade out 9thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Alex Caruso will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player performance across the board.

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