Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have scored 18.2 points per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive production.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the other team has collected 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (25th-most in the league) against the Nets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nets).

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