Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has converted an impressive 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a significant increase from his 48.4 rate last year.
Alex Caruso has converted an impressive 46.8% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit higher than his 36.9 rate last year.
The matchup against Toronto is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Raptors are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (3.5).
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are on their home court (14th-least in the league).
Alex Caruso is expected to suffer a reduction in output for all stats as a result of playing away from hom in this contest.

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