Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 48.4% mark, Alex Caruso's shooting effectiveness has increased this season to 58.6%.
Alex Caruso has successfully made an impressive 47.9% of his 3-pointers this season, a significant increase from his 36.9 mark last season.
The Bulls are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo road team in the league this year (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Bulls have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (12.9).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team has brought down 14.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can spark further chances for offense).

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