Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 48.4% clip, Alex Caruso's field goal ability has jumped this season to 60.1%.
Alex Caruso has converted a whopping 47.7% of his 3-point shots this season, a sizeable increase from his 36.9 rate last season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted just 19.5 free throws per game this year (4th-least in the NBA).
Alex Caruso will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso places in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.8 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
When it comes to offense, the Bulls's unimpressive 107.2 points per game with the home court advantage places 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have registered 14.9 points per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bulls.

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