Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has attempted 3.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.2 mark last season.
The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso should see a rise in performance in all stat categories considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Alex Caruso measures in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.8 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs since the start of last season (15.1).
The 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.9 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Relative to last year's 79.2% rate, Alex Caruso's free-throw performance has fallen this year to 71.4%.

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