Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Utah Jazz · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league on the road since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a hard one for 3-point shots; opposing teams have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 5 games (31.4%).
Alex Caruso has converted 75.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.5% more than he's converted in all games this year.
Alex Caruso should see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Bulls check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Utah Jazz have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Jazz are away from home, opposing teams have attempted a whopping 24.5 free throws per game since the start of last season (7th-most in the league).

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