Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bulls check in as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA away from their home court since the start of last season.
When playing on the road, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has attempted 24.7 free throws per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

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