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Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alex Caruso has sunk 62.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Alex Caruso has successfully made 54.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 22.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season away from his home court.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

While on their home court, the Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alex Caruso has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (80th percentile).

The matchup against the Raptors is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (16.6).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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