Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has sunk 63.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 14.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Alex Caruso has sunk 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 16.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Hornets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 25th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.3).
The Hornets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to raise plays for the Bulls.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production for all stats.