Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:37 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has successfully made 36.9% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should raise plays for the Bulls.
Alex Caruso has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 20.0% more than he's converted over the course of the season playing at home.
Alex Caruso will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one; when the Lakers are away from home, they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.1).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Lakers are the visiting squad (15th-least in the league).