Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 10:32 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one for scoring; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (48.4%).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Bulls.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Kings is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).

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