Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 1:51 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has attempted 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Alex Caruso has tallied 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a good one for threes; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (36.5%).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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