Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against the Nets is a good one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (16.7).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Alex Caruso has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 22.6% more than he's made overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has sunk 28.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -8.7% less than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Alex Caruso has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.
The Nets have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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