Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has successfully made 51.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Alex Caruso has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 21.7% more than he's made over the course of the year away from home.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Hornets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 25.8 free throws per game when playing at home this year (4th-least in the NBA).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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