Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-101/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has converted 65.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 11.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year with the home court advantage.
Alex Caruso has successfully made 61.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 19.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Bulls have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Warriors.
Alex Caruso will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 26.4 free throws per game this year (least in the league).
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a difficult one; while on the road they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (123.3).
The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year when playing at home (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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