Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 24.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year away from home.
On their home court, the Wizards have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Wizards may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a whopping 22.7 free throws per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has attempted a lowly 4.0 shots from the field per game this season, significantly lower than his 6.2 rate last season.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a challenging one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-least field goals per game in the league since the start of last season (5.3).
Alex Caruso will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production across the board.

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