Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 24.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing on the road.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league away from their home court this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 21.6 foul shots per game on his home court this year (3rd-most in the league).
The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for three-pointers; the other team have averaged the 8th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA since the start of last season while playing at home (11.8).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has attempted a lowly 4.0 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 6.2 rate last season.
Alex Caruso has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (75th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for field goals; opposing clubs have totaled the 8th-least buckets per game in the league this year (42.5).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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