Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-112/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has converted 67.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 21.5% more than he's made overall this year.
Alex Caruso has made 50.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Nets is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing squads have averaged the 3rd-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (40.0).
Alex Caruso will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (78th percentile).
Without the home court advantage, the Nets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted just 25.4 free throws per game on the road this year (9th-least in the league).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

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