Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 24.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.
On their home court, the Cavaliers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a massive 22.1 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has attempted a measly 4.0 field goals per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.2 rate last season.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Alex Caruso will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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