Alex Caruso Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 19, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted in all games this season while playing away from home.
Alex Caruso has averaged 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.8 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (5.5).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).
As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Chicago Bulls.
The rate of 3-pointers drained against Caleb Martin has been quite low (34.3%) when he is at home and squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year (25th percentile).
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.

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