Alex Caruso Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 13, 2023 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has successfully made 54.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 22.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season away from his home court.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The matchup against the Raptors is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 21st-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (35.3%).
While on their home court, the Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (80th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production across the board.

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