Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Oct 24, 2024

Updated Oct 25, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has tallied 3.5 assists per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which ought to decrease plays for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production across the board.

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