Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has put up 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put up over the course of the season on the road.
Alex Caruso has played 32.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 4.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year on the road.
The 8th-fastest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bulls.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Alex Caruso registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Alex Caruso will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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