Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has compiled 3.0 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch: 78th percentile.
Alex Caruso has tallied 32.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 5.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Bulls.
The Bulls rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
The most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have secured 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).
Alex Caruso will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production across the board.

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