Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has averaged 3.7 assists per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Alex Caruso has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The Bulls are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
Alex Caruso will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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