Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-168/+136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -164 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -168.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has posted 4.0 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's posted over the course of the year at home.
Alex Caruso has played 31.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Bulls.

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