Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

While on their home court, the Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has posted a lowly 2.9 assists per game this season, significantly lower than his 4.0 assists per game last season.
Alex Caruso has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (80th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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