Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has totaled 3.2 assists per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should raise plays for the Bulls.
Alex Caruso will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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