Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has posted 4.9 assists per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's posted overall this season.
Alex Caruso has tallied 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bulls.
With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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