Alex Caruso Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has tallied 3.4 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this metric in recent games.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Hornets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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