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Al Horford

Al Horford Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Al Horford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Al Horford has posted 6.6 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 90th percentile.
  • Playing at home, the Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
  • The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Al Horford will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production across the board.

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