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Al Horford

Al Horford Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Al Horford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Al Horford has averaged 5.0 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's hottest in this category over this stretch: 89th percentile.
  • Al Horford has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Al Horford has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Al Horford will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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