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Al Horford

Al Horford Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Al Horford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Al Horford has put up 6.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.5 more than he's put up in all games this season on the road.
  • Al Horford has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Al Horford has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.
  • Al Horford will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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