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Al Horford

Al Horford Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-175/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has compiled 7.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.7 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year on the road.

Al Horford has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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