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Al Horford

Al Horford Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Al Horford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has averaged 6.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's averaged overall this season.

Al Horford has played 30.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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