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Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Al Horford ranks in the 80th percentile for 3-pointers hit, putting up 1.8 per game this year.Out of all players in the NBA, Al Horford lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 27.9 minutes per game this year.Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing at home with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.Al Horford ought to see a spike in productivity across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 15.1 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive performance.The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the league this year.The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Magic).Al Horford has attempted 0.6 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile among all players in the league.As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 19.4 free throws per game.
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