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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made from three in all games this season on the road.

Al Horford has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have put up the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%).

The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 14.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year when playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to shooting, the Celtics's unimpressive 46.0% field goal percentage when playing on the road measures as the 8th-fewest in the league over the last 20 games.

The slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Celtics.

Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Al Horford will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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