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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has successfully made 57.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.5% more than he's converted in all games this year when playing at home.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford figures to see a rise in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has made just 39.9% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit lower than his 51.3 rate last season.

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one for threes; opposing starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.6%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 20 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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