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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2025

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (best in the league) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 10th-best in in the league away from their home court with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
  • Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Al Horford slots into the 21st percentile for scoring efficiency with a poor 39.0% rate this year.
  • When it comes to scoring, the Celtics's feeble 45.7% field goal percentage while playing on the road settles in as the 10th-weakest in the NBA this year.
  • The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.
  • The matchup vs. the Heat may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

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