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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 45.1% mark, Al Horford's scoring ability has surged this year to 50.7%.

Al Horford has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.8 higher than he's played overall this year on the road.

The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a favorable one for threes; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a colossal 34.4% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile).

The Celtics rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Celtics's lackluster 18.3 free throw attempts per game as the away team comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Al Horford figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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