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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/15/2024

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Al Horford has made 59.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 6.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing at home.
  • When it comes to offense, the Celtics's outstanding 119.3 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
  • The faceoff with Evan Mobley places in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting Cs nailing a monstrous 43.4% of their three-point attempts this year when they are playing at home.
  • Relative to last year's 72.6% rate, Al Horford's free-throw efficiency has increased this year to 82.4%.
  • Al Horford will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player performance for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
  • The Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Cavaliers).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics grade out 5thworst in in the NBA at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • The faceoff with Evan Mobley when it comes to drawing fouls places in the 17th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting only 2.6 free throws per game this year.

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