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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has successfully made 39.0% of his attempts from downtown while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a favorable one for field goals; when Allen is playing at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted an enormous 58.9% of their shots from the field (100th percentile).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team, averaging a lowly 13.4 foul shot attempts per game.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Jarrett Allen has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throws per game: 13th percentile).

Al Horford will likely suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

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