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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2024

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has made 53.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.2% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season at home.

The Boston Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has successfully made a whopping 82.4% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly more than his 72.6 mark last year.

Al Horford will likely see a spike in performance in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a hard one; he has given up a mere 12.6 points per game when facing opposing starting Cs this year (13th percentile).

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, totaling a lowly 16.3 free throws per game.

The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game (13th percentile).

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