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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2024

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has successfully made 56.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 11.5% higher than he's converted from three overall this year when playing at home.

The Boston Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 72.6% rate, Al Horford's foul-shot efficiency has risen this year to 82.4%.

Al Horford will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The number of points scored against Jarrett Allen has been very low (12.6 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (17th percentile).

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Boston Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team with a mere 17.8 free throw attempts per game.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Jarrett Allen has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throws per game: 17th percentile).

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