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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has sunk 55.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.6% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season on his home court.

When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Bam Adebayo places in the 89th percentile with a monstrous 2.2 3-pointers attempted against him per game this year.

The Celtics check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has made a terrific 84.4% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly more than his 72.6 rate last year.

Al Horford will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.

As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, tallying a lowly 16.3 free throw attempts per game.

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