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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has converted 62.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.2% more than he's converted overall this season.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Al Horford has made a whopping 86.7% of his foul shots this year, a big improvement over his 72.6 mark last year.

Al Horford will likely see an increase in performance in all stat categories considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

As a team, the Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 10 games, averaging a mere 14.9 free throws per game.

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