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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2024

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Al Horford has converted 40.5% of his three-point shots playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).
  • Al Horford has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
  • Al Horford will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves player performance for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The number of shots sunk against Jusuf Nurkic has been quite low (5.7 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (21st percentile).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Celtics check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Jusuf Nurkic has been very low this year (2.8 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).

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