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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The number of points averaged against Deandre Ayton has been quite high (16.5 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Al Horford has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's made in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has made a mere 1.5 treys per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.1 rate last season.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Trail Blazers).

With respect to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 17.3 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. Deandre Ayton is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when Ayton is at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game (17th percentile).

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